Identification and Ranking Indexes of Evaluation and Selection of Foresight Methods in Cultural Policy Making

Abstract

The present research has the purpose of identification and ranking indexes of evaluation and foresight methods selection in cultural policy making through survey methodology. Statistical population of this research includes 70 experts that 60 people were selected as sample volume by Cuchran’s formula. The data collection instrument is the researcher’s composed questionnaire the face, content, and structural validity was confirmed and its reliability was estimated 0.88 by alpha Cronbach coefficient. In order to analyze data, average and one-variable t-test, and factor loading analysis test are used through determination of KMO coefficient. The result of this research was seventh indexes identification and ranking of 32 from 42 identified indexes to evaluate and select foresight methods in cultural policy making. Among indexes such as method ability in making systematic attitude (holism), ability of identification political priorities, ability of method in cultural discoursing, capacity to make cultural participation, responsiveness to new evolutions, intuitive ability and exploratory of method, capacity to participate experts, extensiveness of various fields related to culture, accessibility of informational resources to use methods with the most factor loading. In addition, results obtained from ranking of indexes show that indexes such as capacity to participate experts, method ability for social networking, method ability in social networking, the security level of gathered data, reliance on expert power, implicit knowledge and people experience, method ability in imaging possible and probable futures in culture have the highest rank than other indexes in foresight methods selection in cultural policy making.

DOI: 10.5901/mjss.2016.v7n1p80