The Use of Fuzzy Cognitive Maps for the Analysis of Structure of Social and Economic System for the Purpose of Its Sustainable Development

Abstract

The paper aimed to consideration of a problem of modeling of complex systems. The use of fuzzy cognitive maps for modeling and the analysis of functioning of complex systems is offered. Features of difficult system on the example of social and economic system are analyzed to work The author seeks to track process of change of views and approaches on modeling of a sustainable development of social and economic systems. The problem is formulated on the basis of synthesis of concepts of the theory of systems and the theory of decision-making, the theory of fuzzy graphs and the theory of hierarchical multilevel systems that expands possibilities of the accounting of uncertainty various nature, including risk of a human factor. The idea locates and the concept of an fuzzy cognitive map as fuzzy directed graph unlike known examples of fuzzy cognitive maps is entered. In this work the concept of fuzzy bases of the fuzzy first way focused the column is used, approach to their application for the analysis of fuzzy cognitive maps is considered. The special attention is paid to the description of an example illustrating possibilities of modeling of a trajectory of a sustainable development of social and economic systems by means of fuzzy cognitive maps in the form of fuzzy directed graph. The example of work of the Matrix program developed earlier realizing known algorithms of stay is given: fuzzy ways between concepts; approachibility matrixes; definitions of a set of fuzzy bases, connectivity in this article. This all is important for forecasting of sustainable developing social and economic system.

DOI: 10.5901/mjss.2015.v6n3s5p113